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Saturday, September 6, 2025

Why tariffs to begin with?

Why tariffs to begin with?

Whenever looking to understand a complex situation, we need to look at both sides of the argument. In market analysis, there is always a bull and bear case. If you analyze with only bull, or bear glasses – you are missing the whole picture.

I often cite the Lance Armstrong case, where he was the “doping bad-man”, made out to be the biggest cheater in sports history. What the media didnt tell you is that the yellow winners jersey couldn’t be awarded to the next man down, or the next, or the next, etc.  – because the use of drugs was prevalent in the peloton at the time! Yet, Lance was ostracized as “the cheater”. I used to tell people I liked Lance as an athlete, and people thought I was crazy for liking “the drug cheat”. The fact was, something like 90%++ of the peloton was doping – he was literally not cheating any more than the rest of the group. The media had manipulated the public yet again, by failing to report the entire picture.  So, the notes below may intrigue those who like to look at the other side.

To start, I am not a fan of the degree of tariffs the USA has imposed on Canada. However, perhaps as Canadians, we need to put our elbows down for a moment and hear the other side of the tariff argument. Why are tariffs going up? As you guys know, I have been a long advocate of contra-the-crowd thinking. When “everyone” is suddenly flying flags (when they haven’t done so in the past) and talking “Bad-man Orange”, with little examination outside of that crowd-think, should we perhaps look at the other side?

I recently read an interview with Trumps Head of Economic Advisory Council, Stephen Miran. A summary:

Miran’s tariff policy advice to the President was based on history. Tariffs were set very low by the USA in the post-WWII and Cold War eras. Back then the USA wanted to enable reconstruction and economic strength in countries outside of Russia. It accomplished this with favorable trade policies.

As Miran explains, the tariffs on nations by the USA were set in a “different economic age”. The World Trade Organization (WTO) reports that the USA applies an average of 3.4% tariffs on imports which is the lowest in the world. By comparison, Canada is at 6.6%, China is at 10%, and other countries such as Brazil are much higher. As Miran puts it, these are “asymmetrical trade conditions” unfavorable/unfair to US exports. As the worlds largest economy, it would seem illogical to accept an economic disadvantage, given the progress in world economies since the prior era of reconstruction.

So there you have it. Again, I’m not endorsing anything here, but the interview with Miran did help me understand why these negotiations happened to begin with.

In the meantime–expect volatility as the tariff legality move through the courts.

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Source

https://www.valuetrend.ca/gold-natural-gas-bonds-tariffs-and-more/

Friday, September 5, 2025

Richard Fogler’s Top Picks for September 5, 2025

Richard Fogler’s Top Picks for September 5, 2025

Published: 

Richard Fogler, Managing Director, Kingwest & Company

Focus: North American equities

Top picks: Brookfield Corp., Secure Waste Infrastructure, Amrize

MARKET OUTLOOK:

Both the Canadian and U.S. stock markets are continuing to grow through the end of 2025, although at a potentially slower and more volatile pace than the previous year.

Economic growth should continue in the U.S. with double digit increases in corporate profits.

Analysts expect similar earnings growth for TSX companies albeit in a slower economy, mostly from energy and materials. The gold sector has accounted for around a third of the rise of the TSX so far this year. Will that continue? It’s a wild guess.

There is a good probability for lower interest rates and a more accommodative monetary policy from the Bank of Canada could help stimulate the economy.

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s future actions are a major point of focus, with potential for rate cuts to provide a boost, but also a risk of higher-than-expected inflation or a requirement to refund hundreds of billions of dollars collected on tariffs to dare that could keep rates elevated.

Investors should be mindful of lingering uncertainties, particularly surrounding global trade tensions and U.S. policy initiatives, which could inject volatility into the market. While the markets look to have a positive year, the S&P 500 may perform better due to Canada’s slower economic momentum.

Overall, while the bull market is expected to continue, it will likely be more volatile, and you should focus on fundamentally resilient companies.

TOP PICKS:

Brookfield Corp. (BN TSX)

Brookfield is a simple asset-heavy company relative to its share price. If you aggregate the holdings it owns in its subsidiary companies — Brookfield Asset Management, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Brookfield Renewable Partners, Brookfield Business Partners, and Brookfield Wealth Solutions — they alone aggregate almost US$109 billion. When you include the trophy office and shopping centre and residential real estate holdings of $20.9 billion assets you get a gross value of US$128 billion compared to the market capitalization of US$99 billion number that is 120 per cent above the current market price.

And the company expects to double AUM over the next five years driving a higher valuation.

Secure Waste Infrastructure (SES TSX)

Previously Secure Energy Services Inc., the company helps energy and industrial clients handle and dispose of waste streams, with environmental responsibility. Its operations are divided into two main segments. Waste management includes a network of over 80 facilities, landfills, and pipelines across Canada and the U.S., for the processing, disposal, and recycling of industrial waste and wastewater.

Secure collects and treats hazardous and non-hazardous waste to recover materials like oil and metal. Eighty per cent of cash flow is tied to highly stable sources, independent of oil prices, and 20 per cent of the cash flow is tied to drilling activity.

Energy infrastructure is a network of crude oil gathering pipelines, terminals, and storage facilities providing solutions for the transportation, optimization, and storage of crude oil. The stock trades at 12 times free cash flow. Waste companies trade at about twice that multiple.

Because the company has historically been considered part of the energy services sector it has been saddled with the lower capitalization rate. But the dominant and growing part of the business in waste suggests a valuation more akin to waste companies. In addition, the company’s unique niche generates a very high 21 per cent return on invested capital relative to low teens returns for waste companies and single digit returns for energy services. Better balance sheet. Predictable, recurring cash flow. High return on capital. And growth from acquisition makes this company very attractive.

Amrize (AMRZ NYSE)

Amrize was spun off from Holcim in June 2025. It has two operating divisions, materials and building envelope, each offering organic and acquisition opportunities. Amrize is the largest building solutions company with US$11.7 billion in revenues focused on the North American market. It has a network of over 1,000 sites, a highly efficient distribution system, and substantial aggregate reserves.

Growth was not a focus at Holcim but Amrize is well positioned to benefit from several powerful, long-term trends in North America:

  • Significant government spending on roads, bridges, and other public works
  • Reshoring manufacturing will create demand for new industrial buildings
  • New data centres are a major consumer of building materials
  • Amrize is expected to see long-term growth because of the ongoing demand for new housing

Amrize has had double-digit growth in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA in recent years. New 2025-2028 targets include revenue growth of 5-8 per cent and adjusted EBITDA growth of 8-11 per cent, including over $250 million in cumulative synergies, which is expected to lead to 0.5 per cent margin expansion per year.

The company maintains a strong balance sheet with an investment-grade credit rating. The CEO of Holcim Jan Jenisch has chosen to move to the new company. Very unusual. And he bought $100 million in stock for cash.

In addition, there is strong support. The founding family of Holcim retains a $2 billion interest in Amrize and Martin Ebner owns $1 billion of stock. Amrize has $1.15 billion in free cash, which is available for acquisition.

PAST PICKS: September 11, 2024

Apollo Global (APO NYSE)

Then: US$108.67

Now: US$132.06

Return: 21%

Total Return: 23%

GFL Environmental (GFL TSX)

Then: $55.31

Now: $66.89

Return: 21%

Total Return: 21%

CI Financial (CIX TSX)

Then: $17.54

Now: $31.99

Return: 82%

Total Return: 86%

Total Return Average: 43%

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Source

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/markets/2025/09/05/richard-foglers-top-picks-for-september-5-2025/

Wednesday, September 3, 2025

Brookfield Asset Management Shareholders, 2nd Quarter, 2025

Brookfield Asset Management Shareholders, 2nd Quarter, 2025

Overview

We delivered strong results in the second quarter. This was as a result of strong earnings, good fundraising, and the resilience of our business.

Our diverse strategies and global fundraising continue to support strong capital inflows, raising $22 billion of capital in the second quarter and bringing our total to $97 billion over the past twelve months. As a result, our fee-bearing capital has grown to $563 billion, up 10% over the past year. This momentum underscores our consistent track record of growth and the depth of our client relationships. In the second quarter, we achieved a 16% increase in fee-related earnings to $676 million, or $0.42 per share. Distributable earnings increased 12% to $613 million, or $0.38 per share.

Fundamentals of our business have remained strong and are now further improving with capital markets increasingly favorable. A year ago, investors were waiting for a window of stability to begin evaluating transactions. Today, many are standing ready to put capital to work, generating a heightened level of activity across our business.

The current environment continues to favor our strategy of investing in the backbone of the global economy. Critical real assets and essential service businesses, the types of investments we make, provide stable and inflation-linked cash flows across the cycle. In today’s environment, investors value these high-quality assets and their associated investment profile even more. This positions us well to deploy capital into attractive opportunities and realize value through monetizations, even amid changing conditions.

Year-to-date, we have deployed over $85 billion of capital into investments. Over the same period, we sold over $55 billion of assets, all at strong returns. This represents our highest level of activity in years.

With good underlying economic fundamentals, liquid capital markets, and an environment well-suited to our investment approach, our leadership position across the most important themes in the alternatives market positions us well to continue growing our cash flows and compounding value for our clients and shareholders.

Partnerships Make the Difference

We have a long track record of identifying high-quality assets, optimizing operations, and monetizing investments to generate strong returns. This approach has created meaningful value for our investors and allowed us to scale our business over decades.

Our model continues to attract partners. With our global platform and operating expertise, we are increasingly the partner of choice for governments, corporates, and institutions seeking access to scale capital and an aligned counterparty with the ability to move quickly, execute with certainty, and deliver complex, large-scale projects. This demand has built a differentiated opportunity set for Brookfield, where we are forming long-term strategic partnerships that are difficult to replicate, while delivering attractive risk-adjusted returns for our clients.

We recently entered into two such partnerships:

  • A renewable energy framework agreement with Google, that was announced at the recent Pennsylvania Energy and Innovation Summit, attended by President Trump. Under the agreement, we will deliver up to 3,000 megawatts of hydroelectric capacity across the U.S., beginning with an over $3.0 billion contract for power from two existing facilities in Pennsylvania.
  • A $10 billion investment program to support the Swedish government build-out of the next-generation of digital infrastructure to power the growth of AI and cloud computing. It is a landmark public-private partnership and a powerful example of how we are assisting governments to deliver critical infrastructure with speed and scale. In this situation, and in others, we are differentiated by our scale of capital and an integrated offering through our infrastructure, renewable and real estate businesses.

We’ve pursued similar frameworks in the past with other global corporations and sovereign nations, including a €20 billion investment program announced alongside the French government to support the build-out of AI infrastructure and a 10.5-gigawatt renewable energy agreement with Microsoft.

These frameworks reflect the breadth of our capabilities, the credibility we have built over decades and the scale of our capital to support these initiatives. They also serve as a long-term competitive moat, anchored in our ability to deliver capital, flexibility, and operating expertise, and should allow us to continue to offer proprietary investment opportunities for our clients that will generate strong risk-adjusted returns for decades to come.

Global Megatrends Accelerate Our Leadership

For several years, we have consistently highlighted three powerful megatrends—Digitalization, Decarbonization, and Deglobalization—that are reshaping the global economy and will require more than $100 trillion of capital. Brookfield is positioned at the intersection of these secular drivers, which will continue to provide meaningful tailwinds for our business.

Nowhere is the impact of the three Ds more apparent than in our infrastructure business. Since the beginning of the year, we have committed to numerous large-scale infrastructure transactions, the four largest of which total $30 billion of enterprise value. Each one is anchored by long-term contracted or regulated cash flows and significant barriers to entry. These include the following:

  • A 20% stake in Duke Energy Florida, a vertically integrated electric utility serving 2 million customers with 53,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines and over 13 gigawatts of installed generation capacity, for $8.2 billion ($6.0 billion of equity value). Substantial capital will be invested in Florida over the next 20 years to enhance grid reliability, resiliency, and capacity.
  • Hotwire Communications, a leading bulk fiber-to-the-home provider across the U.S., for nearly $7.0 billion ($4.0 billion of equity value). Substantial capital will be invested across the U.S. to upgrade fiber connectivity.
  • Colonial Enterprises, a world-class midstream portfolio including the Colonial Pipeline, the largest refined products pipeline in the U.S., for $9.0 billion ($3.4 billion of equity value). This is a dominant and mission critical east coast U.S. pipeline system.
  • Wells Fargo Rail, the second largest railcar leasing platform in North America, in partnership with GATX, for over $5.0 billion ($1.2 billion of equity value).

Today, these megatrends are accelerating dramatically and are now more relevant than ever. As an example, Digitalization, once centered on cloud infrastructure, has entered a new phase. Artificial intelligence is transforming how data is created, processed, transported, and consumed, driving rapid demand for computing power and network capacity. Productivity is being reshaped across nearly every sector, and demand for data centers and compute infrastructure is expanding exponentially.

Our investment programs in Sweden and France reflect a broader trend we are seeing globally, as AI emerges as a transformational infrastructure theme that will require significant capital investment. While the potential of AI is widely acknowledged, the scale of infrastructure investment and the operating capabilities required to support its growth remain underappreciated. Trillions of dollars are required.

  • We have a leading position in foundational AI infrastructure, having already built meaningful scale, including over 2,000 megawatts of data center capacity, and one of the world’s largest renewable power platforms. Today, we see a growing need for next-generation AI factories, purpose-built for high-density workloads and powered by dedicated energy sources.
  • Private capital will play a critical role across the AI infrastructure supply chain, especially in compute infrastructure, which requires high-performance chips for large-scale AI training and inference. We see an opportunity to provide GPU infrastructure as a service under long-term contracts, easing the burden on corporate balance sheets.
  • We also see major opportunities across critical adjacencies, such as liquid cooling systems, fiber networks, robotics manufacturing, and recycling infrastructure—all vital to AI system performance and sustainability.

We are uniquely positioned to deliver across each of these solutions. We are leveraging our real estate, power, and infrastructure teams to integrate land, energy, compute, and capital into a single investment proposition across both equity and credit, and our global team brings deep technical and operational expertise across the AI infrastructure value chain. Our AI frameworks in France and Sweden reflect this integrated approach.

To build on this momentum, we are launching a dedicated strategy focused on the development of AI infrastructure—designed to meet the growing demand from hyperscalers, enterprises, and governments for scalable, integrated solutions. We believe AI infrastructure is one of the defining investment themes of the decade, drawing together the three Ds and playing directly to our strengths. We are well-positioned to extend our leadership position. We have already deployed tens of billions into this area and see a significant pipeline of opportunities that fit our capabilities and integrated approach.

High-Quality Assets and Operational Execution Drive Strong Monetizations

Across all asset classes, the transaction market is improving. As a result of the high-quality and resilient nature of our assets, our ability to return capital has been strong, and we are seeing activity levels increase across all our verticals. Year to date, we have sold assets valued at over $55 billion at strong returns. Our success can largely be attributed to our ownership of assets which are of the best quality, and those which form the backbone of the global economy—renewable power, infrastructure, real estate, and industrial businessesthat deliver essential services and generate long-duration, contracted cash flows.

The improvement in transaction activity is particularly distinct in real estate, where investor interest in high-quality assets has turned. Year to date, we sold $15 billion of real estate across all asset classes and to a diverse set of buyers. Notable transactions include the $2.4 billion sale of Aveo Group, a senior living platform in Australia; the $2.2 billion sale of Fundamental Income, our net lease real estate platform in the U.S.; the $1.4 billion sale of Livensa Living, a student housing platform in Iberia; and the $500 million sale of Mare Nostrum, the largest single-asset hotel transaction in Spanish history. We also executed the IPO of Leela Palaces, Hotels and Resorts, our rapidly growing Indian luxury hotel business, a transaction that values the business at $1.8 billion—the highest multiple ever for a hospitality IPO in India.

We also saw strong monetization activity and a continued robust pipeline in our infrastructure business, where we sold nearly $13 billion of assets. This includes a portfolio of stabilized data center assets developed by our Data4 platform for $3.6 billion; Patrick Terminals, a container terminal operations business in Australia, for $2.0 billion; and Natural Gas Pipeline of America for $1.4 billion. We continue to be well-positioned to capitalize on ongoing monetization demand with numerous infrastructure assets in the market.

In our other businesses, we executed several meaningful monetizations. In renewable power, we sold $7.0 billion of assets, including a U.S. hydropower portfolio and an additional 25% stake in a U.S. wind project. In private equity, we are actively advancing sales of businesses that are ready for exit as part of our ongoing effort to return capital to clients. Over the past two years, we have returned $10 billion of capital.

Operations Were Strong

We had strong, broad-based demand from investors across all of our fundraising channels in the quarter. This included institutions, insurance, private wealth, and strategic partners. This momentum translated into over $22 billion of new capital raised, with activity spanning flagship, complementary, insurance and public affiliates. Nearly 70% of capital raising this quarter came from complementary strategies, including private wealth and our perpetual, open-end funds.

We also saw a meaningful increase in deployment. Our competitive advantage is that we can underwrite with conviction, move quickly, and offer scale and certainty; attributes that set us apart and enable us to differentiate our capital. In the second quarter, we deployed nearly $30 billion of equity capital.

Together, these items are driving momentum in FRE growth. This also grows our accrued carry base that will generate significant cash flows in future years.

Second quarter highlights of our activities across each of our business groups include:

  • Renewable Power & Transition: We raised $1.5 billion, including over $800 million for the second vintage of our global transition flagship fund, bringing the capital raised to date for the strategy to over $15 billion. This makes it the largest renewable power or energy transition fund ever and we expect to raise more capital into the final close which is targeted for the end of the third quarter. In these strategies, we deployed $1.3 billion, including over $900 million for the acquisition of National Grid’s U.S. renewables business.
  • Infrastructure: We raised $1.7 billion, led by over $1.0 billion for our supercore infrastructure strategy—our strongest quarter in over three years. In these strategies, we deployed nearly $10 billion.
  • Private Equity: We raised $1.3 billion, including over $500 million for our special investments strategy. In these strategies, we deployed $1.9 billion across new investments.
  • Real Estate: We raised $1.8 billion, including $500 million for the fifth vintage of our flagship real estate strategy, which, on close, will be our largest real estate strategy ever raised. We deployed $3.5 billion in these strategies.
  • Credit: We raised $16 billion, including over $10 billion across our partner managers and $4.4 billion from insurance accounts. We expect to hold a first close for the fourth vintage of our infrastructure mezzanine debt strategy shortly, which would bring total capital raised to-date to $4.0 billion. Deployment totaled $11.8 billion across a broad range of strategies, including $1.7 billion out of our flagship opportunistic credit strategy.
  • Corporate: We acquired an additional 9% stake in Primary Wave, our partner manager focused on music royalties and participated in the Castlelake-led acquisition of Concora, a specialty credit card origination platform and manager.

Scale, Track Record and Brand Will Win in Retirement Markets

For decades, the growth of the alternative investment industry has been driven by institutional capital, anchored by defined benefit pension plans and sovereign wealth funds, each managing over $10 trillion in assets. These long-term, return-oriented investors have provided a stable foundation for the expansion of our industry and for Brookfield’s own growth as a leading manager of real assets. Allocations to alternatives from these institutional investors continue to grow and represent the largest component of our business and we remain deeply committed to serving this important client base.

At the same time, a powerful new growth engine is taking shape—the democratization of alternatives. Defined contribution retirement plans, insurance-based savings products, and private wealth channels are rapidly emerging as the next generation of growth for our industry. In the U.S. alone, outstanding 401(k) accounts and retail annuities now exceed $20 trillion, on par with the size of the global defined pensions and sovereign wealth funds. Private wealth investors represent another $20 trillion opportunity as they increasingly turn to private markets to help meet their investment objectives.

We expect the U.S. administration to pave the way for defined contribution plans, like 401(k)s, to invest in alternative assets. Even a modest reallocation toward private strategies will meaningfully expand the addressable market and unlock hundreds of billions to trillions of dollars of new flows over time. The ability to serve individual savers directly, whether through workplace defined contribution plans, annuities, or wealth accounts, has the potential to double the size of the private markets industry in the years ahead.

This global shift is already underway, and our platform is built for it. Our business is centered around real assets and essential service businesses that offer income, capital stability, and inflation protection that long-term retirement and wealth portfolios require. These characteristics are often difficult to replicate with traditional public market investments and are especially compelling to savers seeking diversification, downside protection, and dependable compounding over time.

In this evolving landscape, distribution will matter, but it is the quality and durability of the products that will ultimately determine success. Individual investors are looking for reliable investment outcomes, they want portfolios that can withstand volatility while compounding over time. We believe no other business has the track record in the diversified products which will drive the future of retirement accounts, like we do.

We’ve made significant investments across our platform to meet the needs of retail investors through the build-out of our private wealth and retirement platform, Brookfield Wealth Solutions, which is on track to raise over $30 billion of capital this year from private wealth and insurance annuity channels. We’ve developed a diverse suite of products structured specifically for private wealth and individual investors, each designed to deliver strong, stable performance across market cycles. That offering is continuing to grow with the upcoming launch of two new strategies dedicated to private wealth investors, one focused on private equity and the other on asset-based finance, creating new avenues for individuals to access our industry-leading platforms.

We are also expanding our reach with dedicated team members focused exclusively on capturing the growing opportunity in defined contribution and private wealth channels. At the same time, we manage an approximate $100 billion (and growing) portfolio of annuities on behalf of Brookfield Wealth Solutions designed to generate stable, attractive returns for retirement accounts.

With our global scale, operational expertise, and long-term mindset, Brookfield has a distinct advantage in delivering real asset solutions to a new generation of investors. Our ability to scale these strategies without compromising on risk or return positions us at the forefront as the market for alternative investments opens to a broader investor base.

This shift from institutional to individual capital marks more than incremental change—it is a structural reorientation in how capital is raised, portfolios are built, and retirement is financed. We are well positioned to lead in this transformation and capture the next frontier of industry growth.

Our Retirement Market Presence Continues to Grow

As part of this evolution, our largest shareholder, Brookfield, recently entered into an agreement to acquire Just Group, a leading provider of retirement services in the U.K. individual retirement market. Just Group focuses on long-duration, income-oriented retirement products, serving both individuals and institutions across the U.K. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of next year.

While we are not contributing capital to the transaction or taking on insurance liabilities, we will become the investment manager with respect to a significant portion of Just Group’s $36 billion portfolio upon closing on terms consistent with our existing investment management agreements with Brookfield’s insurance group (BWS). This will immediately generate meaningful incremental annualized stable fee-related revenue, with significant future upside as Just Group’s origination capabilities contribute to BWS’ growth strategy. This transaction demonstrates the significant opportunity for us to service BWS’ growing global platform, a feature that remains an underappreciated upside for our business.

Following completion of Just Group, BWS is on track to originate upwards of $25 billion of new individual annuity and pension-risk transfer volume annually across North America and U.K. markets, the latter of which generates £40–50 billion of annual pension-risk transfer volume and a defined contribution market that is projected to grow to £1.3 trillion in assets across 14.9 million active savers by 2044.

This acquisition expands the scale and reach of our retirement-focused investment capabilities and reinforces the ongoing upside for us as BWS continues to grow. While such transactions are discrete in nature, they continue to be a meaningful and highly accretive source of growth for us as part of Brookfield’s ecosystem.

Communications with You

In response to investor feedback and with the goal of simplifying and streamlining our communications, we will transition to publishing a comprehensive Brookfield investor letter on a quarterly basis, beginning with our third quarter reporting. This new format will take the place of our current shareholder letter and will cover the most important themes and strategic developments across all of Brookfield, including topics most relevant to Brookfield Asset Management. The letter will be published at the end of Brookfield’s reporting cycle to cover all themes and updates across all parts of Brookfield and its affiliates.

We believe this approach will make it easier for investors to stay current on the full breadth of activity across Brookfield through a single, consolidated update.

We will continue to provide timely updates throughout the year via our quarterly press releases and earnings calls with management. In addition, we will also publish a standalone Brookfield Asset Management investor letter on an annual basis alongside our fourth quarter results.

Closing

We remain committed to being a world-class asset manager by investing our capital in high-quality assets that earn solid, attractive returns, while emphasizing downside protection. The primary objective of the company continues to be to generate increasing cash flows on a per-share basis, and to distribute that cash to you by dividend or share repurchases.

We look forward to seeing you on September 10th in Manhattan at our Investor Day. If you cannot attend in person, our presentation will be webcast live on our website, and also available for replay.

Thank you for your interest in Brookfield, and please do not hesitate to contact any of us should you have suggestions, questions, comments, or ideas you wish to share.

Sincerely,

Bruce Flatt
Chief Executive Officer

Connor Teskey
President

August 6, 2025

 


Tuesday, September 2, 2025

Brookfield Corporation Shareholders, 2nd Quarter, 2025

Brookfield Corporation Shareholders, 2nd Quarter, 2025

Overview

Financial performance was strong in the second quarter, supported by continued momentum across our core businesses and the significant pickup in transaction activity.

Strong underlying fundamentals drove demand and supported cash flow growth in both our asset management and operating businesses. Our wealth solutions business continues to grow its asset base, leveraging our investment capabilities to drive returns. The business recently announced an agreement to acquire Just Group, a U.K. leader in pension risk transfer solutions for $3.2 billion, building on the foundation we have established in the U.K. and following the successful licensing and launch of our U.K. business earlier this year. As one of the largest infrastructure and property investors in the country, this acquisition will enable our business to grow substantially.

Despite the multiple geopolitical issues and tariff turmoil, global equities reached new all-time highs, credit spreads tightened, and interest rates remain largely unchanged—and are expected to start going down on the short-end soon. U.S. economic data continued to be resilient in spite of fluid trade negotiations, and while the timing and outcomes still remain uncertain, our business continues to be largely unaffected.

The relative calm and supportive posture of global markets led to an increase in monetization activity. Year to date, we sold over $55 billion of assets. Financing markets are also strong, enabling us to complete $94 billion of financings across the franchise this year.

Against an increasingly constructive market backdrop, the key themes that ground our capital deployment— digitalization, deglobalization and decarbonization—are accelerating. With a record $177 billion of deployable capital, we are well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities and as stability and liquidity in the capital markets come back, monetization activity grows for the types of high-quality businesses and assets we own.

We announced the split of our shares on a 3-for-2 basis. While this action does not impact the underlying value of the Corporation, it costs us virtually nothing to do, and ensures our shares are accessible to a broad base of investors.

Monetizations Are Back

Market sentiment is improving and is increasingly supportive for high-quality asset transactions. To date this year, we sold over $55 billion of assets across the business. Substantially all sales were at or above our carrying values, monetizing significant value for our clients at attractive returns.

In real estate, our $15 billion of asset sales included a number of landmark transactions diversified across geographies and sectors. We successfully completed the initial public offering of Leela Palaces, Hotels and Resorts, our luxury hotel portfolio across India, a transaction that valued the business at $1.8 billion. The IPO was 4.5x oversubscribed, reflecting strong demand from both domestic and global investors. In Europe, we sold Mare Nostrum Resort, a beachfront property in Tenerife, Spain, for €433 million, marking the largest single-asset hotel trade ever in Spain. We sold Livensa Living, a student housing platform in Southern Europe, for €1.2 billion. In Australia, we completed the sale of a senior living platform for A$3.85 billion, generating a 19% IRR and a 2.3x multiple of capital. In the U.S., we closed on the sale of a triple net lease platform for $2.2 billion. These transactions all crystallized strong risk-adjusted returns and generated significant cash flow for our investors.

In energy, we sold $7 billion of assets this year, reflecting the sustained global demand for high-quality renewable power assets. We closed the sale of a 25% stake in Shepherds Flat, one of the largest wind farms in the U.S., and we sold a minority interest in a portfolio of stable, operating U.S. hydro assets. We also completed the partial sale of a South American hydro platform, from the third vintage of our flagship infrastructure fund, fully exiting the fund’s stake in the investment. Since our initial investment in 2016, the business has consistently delivered strong performance, and its outlook remains strong. To date this year, our energy monetizations achieved an aggregate 17% IRR, underscoring the strength of our strategy and execution.

In infrastructure, we continued to advance our monetization pipeline, generating nearly $13 billion in proceeds through a series of strategic exits and partial sales. We completed the sale of our remaining interest in a U.S. gas pipeline, generating approximately $1.4 billion in proceeds, and closed the sale of a minority stake in our export facilities for metallurgical coal. We also sold 60% of PD Ports, one of the U.K.’s largest port operations for approximately $1.3 billion of proceeds, achieving a 19% IRR and a 7.5x multiple of capital. At our European hyperscale data center platform, we also agreed to sell an incremental 60% stake in a 244-megawatt portfolio of operating sites for $2.4 billion. In Australia, we disposed of part of our container terminal operation for $2.0 billion, generating a 17% IRR and nearly a 4x multiple of capital. Finally, we sold 33% of a portfolio of fully contracted containers at our global intermodal logistics operation, which to date has generated $1.7 billion.

Today We Invest in Insurance; the Future is Insurance Financed Investing

With $180 billion of capital, our Brookfield Corporation balance sheet has one of the largest pools of discretionary capital globally. Today this is predominantly invested into real assets beside our asset management clients, where we have deep investing and operating expertise and a strong track record of investment returns over a long period of time. Despite being very moderately financed (hence very risk averse), we have compounded returns for our shareholders at 18% per annum over the last 30 years.

Our long-term plan is to further enhance the efficiency of our capital structure, thereby enhancing the returns we can earn on our equity, without changing the risk profile of the business. This is being done by refocusing overall Brookfield as an investment-led insurance organization, using our large-scale capital base to back long-duration, low risk insurance. On the asset side of the balance sheet, we remain focused on the same asset classes where we have proven best-in-class investment skills, which are ideally suited for insurance.

To date, we have had two primary sources of capital: our balance sheet, and institutional client capital in our asset management business. In our next evolution, we are focusing our balance sheet to back our growing insurance operations, meaning that our capital will increasingly come from individual investors via our insurance float.

Today, our $135 billion insurance float consists of largely long-duration fixed rate annuities—effectively savings products sold to individuals, whereby we promise to pay an annual coupon of ±5% and repay the principal at the end of a ±7 to 15 year term. These policies are very low risk in nature, and we can use this float to invest in assets within the parameters set out by insurance regulators.

The types of assets best suited for this capital are moderate risk alternatives and credit products—both of which align well with our investment expertise. We intend to allocate further equity capital to our annuity business, and over time the equity base backing these policies could increase to $75 to $100 billion, allowing us to grow our annuity book to $500 to $750 billion.

Today, a small portion of the business—$3.5 billion of equity and $8 billion of assets—backs insurance written for the Property & Casualty market. Over time, the equity could grow to $30 to $50 billion, which in turn should underpin a book of $100 to $150 billion of P&C insurance. Equity investments are ideally suited for the assets that support Property & Casualty liabilities, and align well with our investment capabilities.

Property & Casualty insurance may sound complicated, but it’s not. You all buy it for your car, house, your business or other things you insure in everyday life. Importantly, we are focused on writing low-risk specialty lines of business where we have a competitive edge and can therefore operate profitably and at scale. Our internal knowledge gives us confidence to write policies, but more importantly, informs us when markets get too competitive and we should stop writing business until the market is less competitive and just use our capital elsewhere.

Today we write policies for real estate construction in New York State. Because we have immense real estate knowledge and understand construction risks intimately, we have confidence that we can price construction insurance like few others can, and we intend to expand this business across the U.S. and internationally. In another example, we provide insurance for industrial warehouses, renewable power facilities, and industrial plants. Again, we understand these businesses very well, having operated them for decades, which means that we come at this insurance with a different, and much more informed, lens than most. Our goal is to dominate some specific lines of business over time by focusing on the asset classes that Brookfield knows best.

Our intention is to continue to fund our insurance operations from the Brookfield Corporation balance sheet. This gives great comfort to our regulators that our dollars underpin the policies we insure for individuals. When we established this business, we originally intended it to be one arm of Brookfield; however, after five years of meaningful growth behind us, and seeing the large number of opportunities ahead as the industry evolves, this business is becoming an increasingly foundational component of our vision for Brookfield over the long term. Stay tuned as we move forward.

AI Factories are the Next Major Asset Class

We are launching a strategy for development of AI infrastructure, including AI Factories, as the next evolution of the build-out of the global economy. Over the next five years, this will create a new asset class within the overall infrastructure investment landscape, and with it drive the next evolution of our long-term plan to dominate asset classes related to investment into backbone infrastructure. This started 30 years ago with real estate, moved to pipelines and electrical transmission lines, and has recently been led by renewable power, data centers, fiber lines, and telecom towers. AI infrastructure is the natural next frontier–providing the essential compute and power backbone for the AI-driven global economy.

We own, or are working to assemble, all the pieces of our first seven major AI compute sites which will be built out over the next five years and require around $200 billion of capital. These sites include two in Europe which will scale to ±$40 billion, two in the U.S. with a cost upwards of $75 billion, one in the U.K. for $20 billion, and two in Canada for close to $50 billion. These sites will include power, data center shells, and the equipment to provide compute capacity to the industry leaders of artificial intelligence, governments, and corporates seeking compute capacity. This effort draws on the strength of our global operating teams in real estate, power, and infrastructure—each a global leader in its category. The combination of our unparalleled operating skills in these three areas, coupled with our access to scale capital, should make us one of the unique counterparties to achieve success with this strategy.

The scale of just these seven current developments is around 6 gigawatts of compute infrastructure capacity. The total investment for these seven sites of $200 billion, including chips and processing servers, will be provided from our various funding sources, including senior financing and new funds which are being raised specifically for this purpose. This is similar to the split-off of transition from our infrastructure group five years ago.

To advance our AI factory buildouts, we are collaborating with a number of large technology firms. Our partners are providing us access to high performance computing hardware as well as off-take agreements. Most of these groups are already major partners and therefore well known to us. This will enable us to deliver world-class compute capacity across all of our sites and position us as a key enabler of next-generation AI infrastructure, as technology companies with cloud computing, AI services, and semiconductor designers are increasingly in need of infrastructure operators like us to scale their innovations in the real world. In addition to the large technology firms, we are also engaged in discussions with sovereigns and large enterprises seeking access to high performance compute.

By leveraging our proven capabilities built over the past 30 years, we are positioned to lead in this emerging asset class. With foundational sites already underway and ongoing discussions with strategic partners–we are shaping the future of infrastructure investment. This marks the next chapter in our long-term strategy to remain at the forefront of the evolution of the backbone of the global economy.

Private Asset Investing Continues to Grow

We often get asked for our opinion on private investing, which seems to be a much misunderstood topic. To make it very simple, private investing is merely the investment of capital into either the debt or equity of businesses. But instead of the equity of the businesses being listed, they are private—and instead of the debt being traded or owned by regulated banks, it is owned by investors like us.

Private Equity investing (as investing in the equity of private businesses is commonly known) is merely the ownership of 100% of businesses on a private basis. Owning businesses privately is far more flexible in terms of executing business plans, as investors can execute plans just like any entrepreneur would do, without the disruptive eye of quarterly reporting and constraints the public markets often impose. Each business can be run for long-term growth and performance. Most importantly, private asset investing has proven to be extremely successful, with many decades of outperformance.

Private Credit (as private lending from institutional non-bank groups like us is generally known) is growing in scale and should continue to grow, as private credit providers can provide more flexibility in terms to borrowers. Furthermore, from a risk standpoint, contrary to common belief, there is also far less risk to the overall financial system as these loans are generally owned without any, or limited, leverage.

Thirty years ago, institutional investors only had the opportunity to own listed bonds (mostly government bonds) and public equities; two things have changed the investment industry forever. The first is that the scale of sovereign and institutional funds have compounded to sums of capital never imagined before—$20 trillion and counting. The second is that an industry has now developed to directly invest this capital into the debt and equity of private businesses. Investors no longer have to be held hostage to the volatility of the public markets because companies like ours allow ownership of large parts of businesses by investors. As a result, institutional investors can now avoid the distractions of the public markets and earn better returns.

For these reasons, the scale of private assets has grown every year for 30 years and will not be stopping anytime soon. Institutional investors globally are better for it, and retirement accounts will soon have the same access.

The World’s Electricity Grids are Transforming

Globally the demand for electricity continues to accelerate at a torrid pace, driven by a generational step-change in demand for power to drive the AI revolution and more broadly, the electrification of the global energy grid. This has created a tremendous investment opportunity across our franchise, particularly for our renewables and infrastructure businesses.

The growth prospects for low-cost, mature renewables technologies are better than at any point in history, as they now play the leading role in the requirements for “any-and-all” increases in generation capacity.

Further, as growing energy demand is being met with new build capacity, it is creating two challenges— transmission availability and grid stability. Grids are simply not able to handle this rise in supply and as a result, countries around the world are looking to the build-out of transmission capacity, development of energy storage solutions and, in certain cases, behind-the-meter distributed generation.

We see large scale battery systems and distributed generation as increasingly important parts of the solution. The grid scale batteries being developed today are able to charge when the sun is out or when the wind is blowing and then discharge power at other times, enabling a more consistent power supply. Distributed generation is able to reduce demand during peak hours and provide back-up power when grids are strained. The modular nature of both these technologies also makes them relatively easy to deploy almost anywhere.

Batteries have become more cost effective, with costs declining almost 100% in the past decade as supply chains benefit from economies of scale. With this, we expect that they will become a significant component of stabilizing the world’s transmission grids and supporting the accelerated build-out of low-cost, mature renewable technologies. We also expect that distributed generation will continue to see strong demand and build-out to meet the significant energy demand growth we are seeing today.

At the end of 2024, we advanced our efforts to grow our renewable operations and build out battery systems by acquiring the French listed company, Neoen—a global scale renewable platform with a best-in-class management and market leading positions in France, Australia and the Nordics. The company has an 8,000- megawatt portfolio of highly contracted operating or under construction assets, and a large, advanced stage 20,000-megawatt pipeline.

Neoen is also a leading operator and developer of battery energy storage systems, a technology we are increasingly investing in. With increasing demand, lower capital costs and higher potential revenues from stabilizing services, we are focused on deploying capital into battery energy storage solutions in select markets. Over the past year, we were awarded twenty-year capacity contracts for approximately 800 megawatts of battery storage from the grid operator in Ontario and began construction on 220 megawatts of capacity in Texas. With these development projects, we are now one of the largest battery developers globally.

Adding battery storage and distributed generation to our suite of capabilities over the past couple of years is especially exciting for us in the context of our broader business, as we can now deliver an even more comprehensive solution across Brookfield for our customers. We are one of the largest operators and developers of traditional utility scale renewables and distributed generation, have a leading nuclear power business in Westinghouse, and are the largest private operator of hydro facilities in the U.S.–all of which can help provide scale baseload energy to the grid.

The combination of our global scale, significant access to capital and these combined operating and development capabilities allows us to deliver solutions to our customers few others can. Our differentiated offering is deepening our relationships with the largest and fastest growing institutions globally that are driving the surge in demand for power, and should help us generate significant value for our shareholders over the long term.

Closing

We remain committed to investing capital for you in high-quality assets that earn solid cash returns on equity, while emphasizing downside protection for the capital employed. The primary objective of the company continues to be generating increased cash flows on a per-share basis and, as a result, higher intrinsic value per share over the longer term.

We look forward to seeing you on September 10th at Brookfield Place in Manhattan at our Investor Day. If you cannot attend in person, our presentation will be webcast live on our website, and also available for replay.

Thank you for your interest in Brookfield, and please do not hesitate to contact any of us should you have suggestions, questions, comments, or ideas you wish to share.

Sincerely,

Bruce Flatt

Chief Executive Officer

August 7, 2025