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Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Notes to Myself...Dycom Industries Inc...Supplying a Future Market

Notes to Myself...Dycom Industries Inc...Supplying a Future Market

Dycom Industries Inc...58.35 on the NYSE

Dycom are a leading provider of specialty contracting services throughout the United States. They provide program management, engineering, construction, maintenance, and installation services for telecommunications providers, underground facility locating services for various utilities, including telecommunications providers, and other construction and maintenance services for electric and gas utilities. Dycom provide the labor, tools, and equipment necessary to plan, design, engineer, locate, expand, upgrade, install, and maintain the telecommunications infrastructure of their customers.

Developments in consumer and business applications within the telecommunications industry, including advanced digital and video service offerings, continue to increase demand for greater wireline and wireless network capacity and reliability. Telecommunications providers outsource a significant portion of their engineering, construction, maintenance, and installation requirements, driving demand for the services Dycom provide.

Telecommunications network operators are increasingly deploying fiber optic cable technology deeper into their networks and closer to consumers and businesses in order to better respond to consumer demand, competitive realities, and public policy support. Telephone companies are deploying fiber to the home to enable video offerings and 1 gigabit high-speed connections. Cable operators continue to increase the speeds of their services to residential customers and they continue to deploy fiber for business customers. Deployments for business customers are often in anticipation of the customer sales process. Fiber deep deployments to expand capacity as well as new build opportunities are increasing.

Significant demand for wireless broadband is driven by the proliferation of smartphones and other mobile data devices. To respond to this demand and other advances in technology, wireless carriers are upgrading their networks and contemplating next generation mobile and fixed wireless solutions such as small cells and 5G technologies. Wireless carriers are actively spending on their networks to respond to the significant increase in wireless data traffic, to upgrade network technologies to improve performance and efficiency, and to consolidate disparate technology platforms. Wireless construction activity and support of expanded coverage and capacity is expected to accelerate through the deployment of new or enhanced macro and small cells. These initiatives present long-term opportunities for Dycom with the wireless service providers they serve. As the demand for mobile broadband grows, the amount of wireless traffic that must be “backhauled” over customers’ fiber networks will increase.

From the Management’s Discussion and Analysis from their recent Quarterly Report


The company serves a narrow base of customers but they are huge in size…

T&T Inc.
Verizon Communications Inc
Comcast Corporation
CenturyLink Inc
Windstream Holdings Inc
Charter Communications Inc

This makes their earnings lumpy as these big guys will cut back on their capital spending depending on the way the economy shifts and turns over time. Wall Street in turn, punishes Dycom for the earnings misses that ensue…Yes its stupid but that’s the herd effect of the groupthink on Wall Street... but it’s all to the advantage of the individual investor who refuses to take the consensus view.

The following is the CEO's Letter to the Shareholders as of April 2019…



Gordon Reid of GoodReid Investment Counsel has been touting this stock for awhile now…the following are a sample of his comments while guesting on BNN Bloomberg’s Market Call (a call-in investment talk show)

'Dycom is a telecom services company, capturing a large share of the massive amount of work to upgrade wireline networks to accommodate greater bandwidth. Recent financial reports showed lumpy results, as customers’ annual budgets and consolidation in the telecom space led to a pause in spending. What’s lost in the market’s reaction is the decades-long initiatives that will likely result in an annual over 15 per cent growth in earnings before interest and taxes for Dycom.'

'Dycom is a telecom services company, capturing a large share of the massive amount of work to upgrade wireline networks to accommodate greater bandwidth. Recent financial reports showed lumpy results as customers front-loaded annual budgets and consolidation in the telecom space led to a pause in spending. What is lost in the market’s reaction is the decades-long initiatives that will likely result in an annual 15 per cent+ growth in EBIT for Dycom.'

'This is in the business of basically wiring North America for 1 Gb streaming of data transmission. We are all looking for “more”, which comes in the form of a more complex data packet, and certainly streaming. Everybody is getting into streaming and we are watching movies and TV shows on computers and mobile devices. We need the transmission infrastructure to do that, and this company does that. Management is confident that over the long-term, they can grow EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) at a 15%-16% annual clip. This makes this a very compelling long-term buy. Be patient.'

Thank you, Gordon

Postscript

I was first alerted to Dycom Industries by scanning the holdings of Southernsun Asset Management LLC...That is another fund I follow as it has a narrow concentrated investment portfolio. Again, that means they prefer to do their own due diligence instead of diversifying their returns away. I often come across investment ideas that way...In this case Southernsun bumped up their already large holding of Dycom by an additional 30 percent by the end of the first quarter. I then did some quick research using other resources I have gathered together through the years...nothing intense really. And bang!...and interesting investment idea presented itself...This is largely how I go about researching investment ideas...By focusing on under-followed and under-valued information.

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