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Friday, November 26, 2021

Specializing in Corporate Events: Spinoffs, Part Three

Specializing in Corporate Events: Spinoffs, Part Three

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Insider Tips: A Do-It-Yourself Guide

Insiders. I may have already mentioned that looking to see what insiders are doing is a good way to find attractive spinoff opportunities. (Okay, so maybe I've beaten you over the head with it.) The thinking is that if insiders own a large amount of stock or options, their interests and the interests of shareholders will be closely aligned. But, did you know there are times when insiders may benefit when a spinoff trades at a low price? Did you know there are some situations where insiders come out ahead when you don't buy stock in a new spinoff? Did you know you could gain a large advantage by spotting these situations? Well, it's all true.

Spinoffs are a unique animal. In the usual case, when a company first sells stock publicly an elaborate negotiation takes place. The underwriter (the investment firm that takes a company public) and the owners of the company engage in a discussion about the price at which the company's stock should be sold in its initial offering. Although the price is set based on market factors, in most cases there is a good deal of subjectivity involved. The company's owners want the stock to be sold at a high price so that the most money will be raised. The underwriter will usually prefer a lower price, so that investors who buy stock in the offering can make some money. (That way, the next new issue they underwrite will be easier to sell.) In any event, an arms-length negotiation takes place and a price is set. In a spinoff situation no such discussion takes place.

Instead, shares of a spinoff are distributed directly to parent-company shareholders and the spinoffs price is left to market forces. Often, management's incentive-stock- option plan is based on this initial trading price. The lower the price of the spinoff, the lower the exercise price of the incentive option. (E.g., if a spinoff initially trades at $5 per share, management receives the right to buy shares at $5; an $8 initial price would require management to pay $8 for their stock.) In these situations, it is to management's benefit to promote interest in the spinoff's stock after this price is set by the market, not before.

In other words, don't expect bullish pronouncements or presentations about a new spinoff until a price has been established for management's incentive stock options. This price can be set after a day of trading, a week, a month, or more. Sometimes, a management's silence about the merits of a new spinoff may not be bad news; in some cases, this silence may actually be golden. If you are attracted to a particular spinoff situation, it may pay to check out the SEC filings for information about when the pricing of management's stock options is to be set. In a situation where management's option package is substantial, it may be a good idea to establish a portion of your stock position before management becomes incentivized to start promoting the new spinoff's stock. Eventually, management and shareholders will be playing on the same team, but it's often helpful to know when the "game" begins.

There are very few investment areas where insiders have such one-sided control in creating a new publicly-traded company. Because of this unique quality, analyzing the actions and motives of insiders in spinoff situations is of particular benefit. Since all shareholders of a parent company either receive shares in a new spinoff or have the equal right to buy shares in a new spinoff, there are few fairness issues that come up when dividing assets and liabilities between parent and spinoff. There are, however, ways that insiders can use their relatively unchecked ability to set the structure and terms of a spinoff to gain an advantage for themselves. Of course, by focusing on the motives of management and other insiders you can turn this advantage for insiders into an advantage for yourself. This is particularly true when it comes to analyzing this next method of establishing a new spinoff company...(Rights Offerings)

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You Can Be a Stock Market Genius,

Joel Greenblatt

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