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Saturday, June 9, 2018

“The stock market has done nothing this year.”


“The stock market has done nothing this year.”

Above heading reflects the sentiment of most investors today. Bombarded by the endless black headlines, investors continue to fret and sweat fearing that the market will reach new lows. Clearly, these are the professional S&P watchers and know nothing about “the market”. Little do they realize that last Friday, the following Advance-Decline Lines hit record highs again: SPX, NDX, MID-CAP, and SMALL-CAP. More importantly, the NYSE Advance-Decline Line Cumulative and the NYSE Common Stock Only Advance-Decline Line also closed at new record highs along with the Cumulative Advancing Volume-Declining Volume Index. These internal measures reveal the real health of the market and are far more informative and hence, more important than the S&P. What these indicators are telling investors is that “the market” bottomed in early February as I’ve said and the bull market has resumed. Moreover, as the market has yet to register overbought readings and sentiment if far from euphoric, short-term risk is limited and further gains lie ahead. When the major market indices reach new highs, the horses are long out of the gate as they already have.

Leon Tuey via Jeffrey Saut

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