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Friday, August 10, 2018

How do you invest to deal with the recent disruptive or destructive technology trends?


How do you invest to deal with the recent disruptive or destructive technology trends?

While Amazon may get the most press for disrupting industries and economies around the world, there are plenty of companies making their own waves on this front. The way to go about investing on the right side of these trends is to think: what companies can Liberty investors own today that will still be around in 10 years to benefit from the growth in their free cash flow and dividends? And what sectors should be avoided?

The sectors we are currently avoiding are energy, telecoms and most utilities that don’t have much exposure to renewable energy.

Their growth could wane quickly – if it is 5, 10 or 15 years from happening, investors should do a discounted cash flow valuation of these stocks. If the valuation reaches that price, they should sell the stock.

Or they could face the “Last Man Standing” scenario, whereby the last purchaser of Nortel or Valeant stock at its peak saw the stock move only lower.

Below is a table of the current investment trends for the future. Unlike the bubble that burst in 2000 that sent technology stocks plummeting, these companies all have real and growing revenues, profits and free cash flows:

TREND
LIBERTY STOCKS INVOLVED IN THESE SECTORS
Water
A.O. Smith, Lindsay Corp., Danaher Corp.
Agriculture
Agrium, Lindsay Corp., Raven Industries
Healthcare – Pharma
Novo-Nordisk NV
Healthcare – Medical Devices
Becton Dickinson, Atrion Corp., Coloplast A/S, Globus Medical, Stryker Inc.
Other Medical
Balchem, Mesa Labs, Steris
Fintech
Chubb, Fairfax, Great-West, TD Bank, First Cash Financial, Paychex
Robotics
Cognex Corp., Danaher Corp
Life Sciences
Danaher Corp., Thermo Fisher Scientific
Logistics
Dassault Systemes, Roper Technologies
Artificial Intelligence
Dassault Systemes,  Open Text, Shopify Inc., Cognex Corp.
Government Regulations
Halma plc., Intertek Group, Spectris plc.
Renewable Energy
NextEra Energy, Novozymes A/S
Infrastructure
Toromont Industries, Stantec, Roper Technologies
Aerospace
Heico Inc.,RBC Bearings
Automotive Computerization
Littelfuse Inc.



Resources

https://www.libertyiim.com/

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